Championship · Matchweek 18
Wrexham
WRE
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham39%
Draw30%
Portsmouth32%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.12
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession44%
33%Territory40%
39%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.1%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wrexham, 2 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.