Championship · Matchweek 18
West Ham United
WHU
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham40%
Draw29%
Stoke32%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.18
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession57%
48%Territory37%
30%From set plays49%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.1%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Ham, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.