Championship · Matchweek 18
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Bristol City
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Brom39%
Draw31%
Bristol City31%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.05
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–011.9%
- 0–111.0%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession53%
41%Territory43%
19%From set plays50%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Brom, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.