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Championship · Matchweek 18

Queens Park Rangers

QUE

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

QPR41%
Draw28%
Sheff Utd31%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.23

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession48%
35%Territory47%
41%From set plays60%
0.16Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for QPR, 4 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.