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Championship · Matchweek 18

Preston North End

PRE

Norwich City

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Preston29%
Draw27%
Norwich45%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.55

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Norwich will have the ball; Preston will not mind.

36%Possession55%
35%Territory39%
43%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 4 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Preston

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.