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Championship · Matchweek 18

Lincoln City

LIN

Wolverhampton Wanderers

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lincoln23%
Draw25%
Wolves51%

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.73

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–28.4%
  • 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolves will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.

38%Possession53%
28%Territory36%
57%From set plays15%
0.11Chance quality0.09
10.5%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 4 for Wolves.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.