Championship · Matchweek 18
Lincoln City
LIN
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln34%
Draw28%
Wolves38%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.36
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–08.4%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession55%
30%Territory30%
22%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.17
7.5%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lincoln, 2 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.