Championship · Matchweek 18
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn44%
Draw28%
Charlton28%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.10
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–09.2%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession43%
28%Territory32%
33%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Blackburn
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.