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Championship · Matchweek 17

Watford

WAT

Blackburn Rovers

BLA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Watford38%
Draw29%
Blackburn33%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.18

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.1%
  • 1011.2%
  • 0110.3%
  • 009.9%
  • 218.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Blackburn will have the ball; Watford will not mind.

50%Possession58%
35%Territory42%
35%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.