Championship · Matchweek 17
Watford
WAT
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford52%
Draw26%
Blackburn22%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.03
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession40%
31%Territory28%
31%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.