Championship · Matchweek 17
Stoke City
STK
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke36%
Draw27%
Millwall37%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.44
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Millwall will not mind.
50%Possession38%
39%Territory38%
9%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness9.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 4 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.