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Championship · Matchweek 17

Bolton Wanderers

BOL

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bolton12%
Draw16%
West Brom71%

Expected goals

1.11 – 2.68

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–28.3%
  • 1–38.1%
  • 0–37.1%
  • 1–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Brom will have the ball; Bolton will not mind.

47%Possession60%
33%Territory38%
9%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.15
6.4%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 3 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.