Championship · Matchweek 17
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton25%
Draw29%
West Brom46%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.38
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.4%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession55%
35%Territory41%
25%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 4 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.