Championship · Matchweek 17
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Derby County
DER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves57%
Draw24%
Derby19%
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.98
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.9%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wolves will have the ball; Derby will not mind.
53%Possession45%
36%Territory35%
15%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 3 for Derby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.