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Championship · Matchweek 17

Sheffield United

SHU

Southampton

SOU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sheff Utd38%
Draw27%
Southampton35%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.42

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession53%
47%Territory38%
60%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 4 for Southampton.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.