Championship · Matchweek 17
Sheffield United
SHU
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Utd31%
Draw25%
Southampton44%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.73
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–17.9%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton will have the ball; Sheff Utd will not mind.
40%Possession57%
38%Territory34%
26%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sheff Utd, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.