Championship · Matchweek 17
Sheffield United
SHU
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Utd38%
Draw27%
Southampton35%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.42
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession53%
47%Territory38%
60%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 4 for Southampton.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.