Championship · Matchweek 17
Portsmouth
POR
West Ham United
WHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth31%
Draw27%
West Ham42%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.51
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession52%
40%Territory37%
23%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.18
8.4%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Portsmouth, 3 for West Ham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.