Championship · Matchweek 17
Norwich City
NOR
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich45%
Draw26%
QPR29%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.28
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession49%
34%Territory42%
4%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Norwich, 4 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.