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Championship · Matchweek 17

Norwich City

NOR

Queens Park Rangers

QUE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Norwich32%
Draw28%
QPR40%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.41

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Norwich will have the ball; QPR will not mind.

55%Possession45%
39%Territory35%
15%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.16
4.1%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Norwich, 3 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.