Championship · Matchweek 17
Middlesbrough
MID
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Middlesbrough70%
Draw18%
Swansea12%
Expected goals
2.29 – 0.86
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.3%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession65%
42%Territory39%
15%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Middlesbrough, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Middlesbrough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.