Championship · Matchweek 17
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton42%
Draw28%
Lincoln31%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.22
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lincoln get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession38%
32%Territory28%
24%From set plays57%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlton, 4 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.