Championship · Matchweek 17
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton37%
Draw34%
Lincoln30%
Expected goals
1.04 – 0.91
Over 2.5
31%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–015.9%
- 1–014.8%
- 1–113.6%
- 0–112.7%
- 2–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Charlton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
36%Possession40%
27%Territory30%
44%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Charlton, 3 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.