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Championship · Matchweek 17

Cardiff City

CAR

Preston North End

PRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cardiff53%
Draw24%
Preston23%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.13

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cardiff will have the ball; Preston will not mind.

52%Possession36%
37%Territory35%
22%From set plays43%
0.13Chance quality0.07
6.5%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cardiff, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.