Championship · Matchweek 17
Cardiff City
CAR
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cardiff39%
Draw27%
Preston34%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.40
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
65%Possession41%
45%Territory38%
15%From set plays45%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cardiff, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.