Championship · Matchweek 17
Bristol City
BRI
Wrexham
WRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City44%
Draw28%
Wrexham28%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.11
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.
42%Possession53%
33%Territory36%
33%From set plays37%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.