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Championship · Matchweek 16

Wolverhampton Wanderers

WOL

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolves60%
Draw25%
Charlton16%

Expected goals

1.70 – 0.77

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.9%
  • 2–012.0%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolves will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

53%Possession43%
36%Territory32%
15%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.