Championship · Matchweek 16
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves50%
Draw28%
Charlton23%
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.95
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession36%
30%Territory27%
21%From set plays44%
0.17Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Wolves, 4 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.