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Championship · Matchweek 16

West Ham United

WHU

Preston North End

PRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Ham63%
Draw21%
Preston16%

Expected goals

2.14 – 1.03

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Ham will have the ball; Preston will not mind.

56%Possession36%
48%Territory35%
30%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.07
3.1%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Ham, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.