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Championship · Matchweek 16

West Ham United

WHU

Preston North End

PRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Ham56%
Draw23%
Preston21%

Expected goals

2.01 – 1.20

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.9%
  • 219.8%
  • 108.7%
  • 208.1%
  • 316.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Ham will have the ball; Preston will not mind.

52%Possession41%
37%Territory38%
15%From set plays45%
0.18Chance quality0.15
4.9%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Ham, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.