Championship · Matchweek 16
Swansea City
SWA
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea40%
Draw31%
West Brom29%
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.97
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.9%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–013.0%
- 0–111.1%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession55%
37%Territory41%
21%From set plays19%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 4 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.