Championship · Matchweek 16
Swansea City
SWA
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea26%
Draw26%
West Brom48%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.66
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
65%Possession60%
39%Territory38%
34%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.