Championship · Matchweek 16
Sheffield United
SHU
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Utd42%
Draw27%
Watford31%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.23
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Watford will have the ball; Sheff Utd will not mind.
40%Possession50%
38%Territory35%
26%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.