Championship · Matchweek 16
Sheffield United
SHU
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Utd54%
Draw25%
Watford20%
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.98
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession43%
47%Territory31%
60%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.