Championship · Matchweek 16
Norwich City
NOR
Cardiff City
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich54%
Draw23%
Cardiff23%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.28
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.5%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Norwich will not mind.
51%Possession65%
34%Territory45%
4%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Norwich, 4 for Cardiff. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.