Championship · Matchweek 16
Millwall
MIL
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Millwall46%
Draw27%
QPR27%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.14
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
QPR will have the ball; Millwall will not mind.
38%Possession49%
38%Territory42%
39%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.11
9.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Millwall, 4 for QPR.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.