Championship · Matchweek 16
Millwall
MIL
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Millwall44%
Draw27%
QPR29%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.25
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall will have the ball; QPR will not mind.
59%Possession45%
41%Territory35%
29%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.16
7.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Millwall, 3 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.