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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 16

Middlesbrough

MID

Bristol City

BRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Middlesbrough66%
Draw20%
Bristol City14%

Expected goals

2.15 – 0.93

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.7%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 3–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Middlesbrough will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.

59%Possession42%
42%Territory33%
15%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Middlesbrough, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.