Championship · Matchweek 16
Lincoln City
LIN
Wrexham
WRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln27%
Draw26%
Wrexham48%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.63
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
38%Possession53%
28%Territory36%
57%From set plays37%
0.11Chance quality0.08
10.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 3 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.