Championship · Matchweek 16
Lincoln City
LIN
Wrexham
WRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln38%
Draw30%
Wrexham32%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.09
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–011.3%
- 0–110.9%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
40%Possession50%
30%Territory33%
22%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.08
7.5%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lincoln, 4 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.