Championship · Matchweek 16
Burnley
BUR
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burnley33%
Draw28%
Blackburn39%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.36
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackburn will have the ball; Burnley will not mind.
47%Possession58%
36%Territory42%
16%From set plays11%
0.07Chance quality0.08
6.1%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Burnley, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.