Championship · Matchweek 16
Burnley
BUR
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burnley54%
Draw24%
Blackburn23%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.18
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burnley will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.
50%Possession40%
35%Territory28%
47%From set plays33%
0.16Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burnley, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Burnley
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.