Championship · Matchweek 16
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton29%
Draw28%
Portsmouth42%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.40
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession44%
35%Territory40%
25%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 2 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.