Championship · Matchweek 15
Wrexham
WRE
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham37%
Draw27%
Wolves36%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.41
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession55%
33%Territory30%
39%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.17
5.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wrexham, 2 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.