Championship · Matchweek 15
Wrexham
WRE
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham37%
Draw30%
Wolves33%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.17
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–110.6%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession53%
36%Territory36%
37%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wrexham, 4 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.