Club Football Intelligence

Championship · Matchweek 15

Sat, 7 Nov, 15:00 UTC

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

15:00 UTC

Millwall

MIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Brom37%

Draw30%

Millwall33%

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.13

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

1–113.2%
1–011.8%
0–010.8%
0–110.8%
2–18.0%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Brom will have the ball; Millwall will not mind.

55%Possession38%

41%Territory38%

19%From set plays39%

0.09Chance quality0.13

3.5%Directness9.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Brom, 4 for Millwall.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

West Brom

Jimmy-Jay MorganMF1G 1A 0.68/90
Felix Horn MyhreMF0G 1A 0.50/90
Callum StylesDF2G 0A 0.50/90

Millwall

Lyndon DykesFW4G 0A 1.10/90
Camiel NeghliMF1G 1A 0.57/90
Caleb TaylorDF1G 1A 0.50/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.