Championship · Matchweek 15
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Brom50%
Draw24%
Millwall26%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.29
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession59%
38%Territory41%
12%From set plays29%
0.15Chance quality0.13
3.0%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Brom, 3 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.