Championship · Matchweek 15
Watford
WAT
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford17%
Draw23%
Middlesbrough60%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.91
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.5%
- 1–110.4%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Watford will not mind.
43%Possession59%
31%Territory42%
31%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 3 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.