Championship · Matchweek 15
Watford
WAT
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford26%
Draw26%
Middlesbrough48%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.59
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.0%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Watford will not mind.
50%Possession59%
35%Territory47%
35%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 4 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.