Championship · Matchweek 15
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR47%
Draw29%
Lincoln24%
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.93
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.9%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–19.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
QPR will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
49%Possession40%
42%Territory30%
16%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for QPR, 3 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.