Championship · Matchweek 15
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR68%
Draw19%
Lincoln13%
Expected goals
2.25 – 0.91
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.8%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.6%
- 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lincoln get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession38%
35%Territory28%
41%From set plays57%
0.16Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for QPR, 4 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.