Championship · Matchweek 15
Preston North End
PRE
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Preston17%
Draw22%
Southampton61%
Expected goals
1.03 – 2.03
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–29.7%
- 1–36.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
36%Possession53%
35%Territory38%
43%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.