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Championship · Matchweek 15

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Charlton38%
Draw31%
Sheff Utd32%

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.08

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 1012.5%
  • 0011.6%
  • 0111.1%
  • 218.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Charlton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

36%Possession40%
27%Territory38%
44%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Charlton, 3 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.