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Championship · Matchweek 15

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Charlton20%
Draw26%
Sheff Utd54%

Expected goals

0.92 – 1.64

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.2%
  • 1–111.6%
  • 0–210.1%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession48%
32%Territory47%
24%From set plays60%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlton, 4 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.