Championship · Matchweek 15
Cardiff City
CAR
Burnley
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cardiff49%
Draw25%
Burnley26%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.20
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Burnley will not mind.
65%Possession47%
45%Territory36%
15%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cardiff, 4 for Burnley.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.