Championship · Matchweek 15
Bristol City
BRI
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City47%
Draw27%
Norwich27%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.15
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Norwich will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.
42%Possession55%
33%Territory39%
33%From set plays15%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 4 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.