Championship · Matchweek 15
Bristol City
BRI
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City44%
Draw25%
Norwich31%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.38
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.3%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession51%
43%Territory34%
50%From set plays4%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.