Championship · Matchweek 15
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
West Ham United
WHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn31%
Draw26%
West Ham43%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.58
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession52%
42%Territory37%
11%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.18
4.6%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 3 for West Ham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.