Championship · Matchweek 15
Birmingham City
BIR
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Birmingham48%
Draw26%
Swansea26%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.13
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Birmingham will not mind.
49%Possession65%
34%Territory39%
5%From set plays34%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Birmingham, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.