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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 14

Wrexham

WRE

Middlesbrough

MID

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wrexham27%
Draw27%
Middlesbrough46%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.57

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 0–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Middlesbrough will have the ball; Wrexham will not mind.

50%Possession59%
33%Territory47%
39%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wrexham, 4 for Middlesbrough.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.