Championship · Matchweek 14
Wrexham
WRE
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham20%
Draw24%
Middlesbrough56%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.80
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.3%
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession59%
36%Territory42%
37%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wrexham, 3 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.