Championship · Matchweek 14
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton47%
Draw26%
Bolton28%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.27
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Charlton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession47%
32%Territory33%
24%From set plays9%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlton, 3 for Bolton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.