Championship · Matchweek 14
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton47%
Draw29%
Bolton24%
Expected goals
1.36 – 0.92
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bolton will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
36%Possession51%
27%Territory35%
44%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Charlton, 3 for Bolton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.