Championship · Matchweek 14
Bristol City
BRI
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City40%
Draw29%
Wolves31%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.17
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wolves will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.
42%Possession53%
33%Territory36%
33%From set plays15%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 4 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.