Championship · Matchweek 14
Bristol City
BRI
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City45%
Draw26%
Wolves29%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.29
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–27.0%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession55%
43%Territory30%
50%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.17
4.4%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 2 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.