Championship · Matchweek 14
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Brom46%
Draw25%
Southampton29%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.35
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession53%
38%Territory38%
12%From set plays14%
0.15Chance quality0.12
3.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Brom, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.