Championship · Matchweek 14
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Brom37%
Draw29%
Southampton34%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.23
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession57%
41%Territory34%
19%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Brom, 4 for Southampton.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.