Championship · Matchweek 14
Watford
WAT
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford41%
Draw30%
Lincoln29%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.04
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.9%
- 0–011.3%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Watford will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
50%Possession40%
35%Territory30%
35%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 3 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.