Championship · Matchweek 14
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Burnley
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR54%
Draw25%
Burnley20%
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.97
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession47%
42%Territory36%
16%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.07
4.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for QPR, 4 for Burnley.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.