Championship · Matchweek 14
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Burnley
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR56%
Draw24%
Burnley20%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.07
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession50%
35%Territory35%
41%From set plays47%
0.16Chance quality0.16
5.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for QPR, 3 for Burnley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Burnley
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.