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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 14

Preston North End

PRE

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Preston46%
Draw26%
Sheff Utd28%

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.25

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Preston get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

41%Possession40%
38%Territory38%
45%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 3 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.