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Championship · Matchweek 14

Preston North End

PRE

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Preston20%
Draw24%
Sheff Utd56%

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.82

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–29.3%
  • 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Utd will have the ball; Preston will not mind.

36%Possession48%
35%Territory47%
43%From set plays60%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 4 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.