Championship · Matchweek 14
Portsmouth
POR
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth39%
Draw31%
Swansea31%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.05
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.9%
- 0–011.9%
- 0–111.0%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Portsmouth will not mind.
51%Possession65%
29%Territory39%
52%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Portsmouth, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.