Championship · Matchweek 14
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn40%
Draw28%
Stoke32%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.22
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackburn will have the ball; Stoke will not mind.
58%Possession50%
42%Territory39%
11%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.