Championship · Matchweek 14
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn25%
Draw28%
Stoke47%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.43
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–010.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.
40%Possession57%
28%Territory37%
33%From set plays49%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Blackburn
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.