Championship · Matchweek 14
Birmingham City
BIR
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Birmingham37%
Draw27%
Millwall37%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.46
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall will have the ball; Birmingham will not mind.
49%Possession59%
34%Territory41%
5%From set plays29%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.2%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Birmingham, 3 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.