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Championship · Matchweek 13

West Ham United

WHU

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Ham48%
Draw27%
West Brom25%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.06

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1011.9%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.5%
  • 008.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession55%
37%Territory41%
15%From set plays19%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Ham, 4 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.