Championship · Matchweek 13
Stoke City
STK
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke44%
Draw27%
Preston30%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.25
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
50%Possession41%
39%Territory38%
9%From set plays45%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.